Hi - new member - apologies if this is a somewhat basic question:
How does TSB runs its sim calculation to determine game outcomes? I know they give each team a 0-15 rating for its offense and a 0-15 rating for its defense, but I'd love to know how they actually determine head-to-head results.
Here's an example of something I'd like to understand better:
Pittsburgh has sim values of 6 on offense and 14 on defense. Houston is 10 on offense and 8 on defense. So the Steelers have a slightly higher overall rating.
But if you sim those two teams against one another, Houston wins well above 50% of the games. (And obviously Pittsburgh doesn't make the postseason very often when simulating a season.)
I wonder a) how they weight the offensive and defensive ratings and b) whether any individual player ratings impact the sim outcomes. Curious as to what actual calculation/randomization method is used by the computer.
Thanks for any thoughts,
John