player121xk

Jersey Cup announcement from a special guest...
 
https://youtu.be/lzz0KaHlVIM
 

While not a confirmation of a release date, of course, I did find this picture with a Google search that confirms it had been released by 12/13/91.
 
And maybe you guys have seen this picture before, I don't know, but I thought it was cool.

While not a confirmation of a release date, of course, I did find this picture with a Google search that confirms it had been released by 12/13/91.
 
And maybe you guys have seen this picture before, I don't know, but I thought it was cool.

While not a confirmation of a release date, of course, I did find this picture with a Google search that confirms it had been released by 12/13/91.
 
And maybe you guys have seen this picture before, I don't know, but I thought it was cool.

While not a confirmation of a release date, of course, I did find this picture with a Google search that confirms it had been released by 12/13/91.
 
And maybe you guys have seen this picture before, I don't know, but I thought it was cool.

Various topics, but all related, hence grouped this way. Any thoughts on any of these appreciated.
 
- I was thinking I would break up the current 2-block format as follows:
Part 1: Gruesomely detailed information on I think the "default" Tecmo playbook and some related or swappable plays where I think there is either a significant amount of promise or usage. Training protocols, regimens, and results. Physics/distances/game theory. Maybe 100 pages.
Part 2: The rest of the existing Part 1, including the junk like flea flickers.
Part 3: Still personnel. Thinking about ditching the drafting part, because now people are coming in with custom ROMs with new playbooks - not sure if it still makes sense to have in there or how good it is.
Part 4: Detailed information (maybe just links) to board posts and so on about game internals and mods. <TBD, I'm definitely not the best person to put that together> This was definitely a request I heard a few times.
 
- Videos/pictures/HTML/text. Back in the good old days, it made more sense to have the FAQ be text because that was how you found this stuff. Nowadays even Mort's pretty basic blog shows the limitations. Here are my thoughts on this:
Video is the easiest for me to produce and communicate so you actually understand what I'm showing, but you can't really have it at tournaments, or effectively excerpt it or summarize it in a cheat sheet. However I'd definitely appreciate tips on what the best way to do that with voiceovers is, capture issues, etc. (know there are topics on this: I'm even thinking a ghetto cellphone video or video camera mounted nearby). I could bubble everything, but perhaps not ideal from my own time perspective (this is a hobby, although I'm giving it more time than I used to because I've realized other games suck )
Text is definitely the easiest for arm bands and such. Has advantage because it's the quickest for me to put together.
HTML page is easiest to read quickly and looks nice. However, it doesn't show concepts most effectively and it costs me more time to put together.
 
I saw a really impressive playbook one of the guys put together at the MWTecmo tournament this year. That format, or the little black book, is best for refresher for sure, when the dude rolls up with his crazy motion playbook. One of the things I'm batting around is telestrating it instead, so you have a picture that shows the movement also.
 
TecmoPsycho (if I have his handle right) was talking about his notes to me the other day. I'm certainly on board with a wiki concept.
 
My goal would be to drop the text-ish version of the Part 1 in a couple months, ideally less. Then clean up for Part 2 (a month) and Part 3 is largely the same.
 
Post any feedback or suggestions here. No promises, but I'm more thinking of aligning with what is interesting to you in the community.

Enjoy, and let me know if you have any questions.
 
http://louraguse.com/2016/02/the-fathers-of-tecmo-super-bowl/
 

Aaron Toner doesn't have an account on here, so he asked me to post this:
 
 

Aaron Toner doesn't have an account on here, so he asked me to post this:
 
 

Aaron Toner doesn't have an account on here, so he asked me to post this:
 
 

Aaron Toner doesn't have an account on here, so he asked me to post this:
 
 

Aaron Toner doesn't have an account on here, so he asked me to post this:
 
 

Aaron Toner doesn't have an account on here, so he asked me to post this:
 
 

Aaron Toner doesn't have an account on here, so he asked me to post this:
 
 

Aaron Toner doesn't have an account on here, so he asked me to post this:
 
 

Aaron Toner doesn't have an account on here, so he asked me to post this:
 
 

My brother Mike and I will be making our Tecmo Madison debuts this weekend. Neither of us has ever played in a tournament, so we figured we'd start with the biggest and best. In fact, we've probably played 95 percent of our Tecmo games over the years head-to-head against each other. We are fully prepared for the possibility of going 0-2 and spending the rest of the day cheering on the field, although we are actively hoping to defy the odds and make a surprise run. Either way, this trip is a dream come true. I'm traveling from Erie, PA, and meeting my brother in Chicago before heading to Wisconsin.
 
We will be staying with friends just outside of Madison, so I'm not sure if we'll make the Friday early registration, but we will definitely be there on Saturday. I recently found a letter I wrote to Santa at age 8 asking for "Super Tecmo Bowl or Tecmo Super Bowl" (apparently I wasn't sure on the official name.) Santa came through in the Christmas of '92, and more than 20 years later, my brother and I still spend time over holidays playing our own mini Tecmo tournaments against each other. When I first saw the documentary piece a few years ago, my brother and I joked that we should go someday. Then when I heard this was our last shot, we decided to make it happen.
 
I am a high school English teacher. When I tried to explain to my students why I was not going to be in school on Friday, I got a mix of enthusiasm, support, and "What is Tecmo Super Bowl?" questions. After explaining to a generation of kids who do not know a pre-Madden world of football video games about Tecmo's historical significance and the legend of Tecmo Bo Jackson (he's the reason I am a Raiders fan, after all), they're pretty excited for me. Anyway, I look forward to meeting and competing against others who have grown up with Tecmo like my brother and me. Here's to a fun weekend! We'll see you all soon!
 
Sincerely,
Matt Hubert
 

DISCLAIMER: The numbers next to each player posted below are derived using an SRS iterative method from past tourney results. I used only the last 3 Madison tourney's with the following weightings (10%, 40%, 50%)  There are no subjective adjustments. They are merely ONE TOOL in evaluating a players past madison performances and relative skill. They can be thought of as the average number of points a player would beat an average Madison participant based on past results. 
 
A couple examples of ratings from 3 different players over the last 3 tourneys. 
 
low to high (-3.9, 12.3, 16.0) 
Consistent (14.0,13.8, 12.2) 
high to low ( 17.2, 13.1, 9.5) 
 
But appease the Tecmo Gods and ye may be rewarded with glorious endzone to endzone JJ's.  Anger them and feel their fumble wrath destroy your tecmo hopes!  
 

 
Dillon Region
 
 
Group 25-  Group that is home to the defending champ Derek R (tecmopsycho) who struggled out of the gate last year nearly going 0-2 and getting eliminated in group play but he had the will of a champion and found his groove and ran the table thereafter. He is one of the elite tappers and and has tons of live tourney experience so he has a good a shot as any of trying to become the 2nd repeat champion. Jimmy P (jimsocks) would be my favorite for the #2 seed as he made it to the round of 16 in Tecmo X only to go 1-2 in group play the next year.  Nate V( the legend) is looking to live up to his name after nearly escaping group play last year only to lose badly to rico in the losers bracket championship. 
 
Group 26-  Matt .O (LuckyTool) is hoping his luck will change and he make another elite 8 run as he is in the conversation of one of the best to never win it. He knocked me out last year in the round of 32 only to lose in OT to skunker. He a close losses to Jeff B (rd of 32) Tecmo IX and one of his only bad losses a 21-3 loss to Matt V in the round of 16 Tecmo X. However this group will be tough at the top. His competition will be Kyle F (Flo) and Barry A (Bob Nelson) are both experience players who have good winning %'s and have made it out of group play numerous times. Flo was eliminated by Joey V in the round of 64 after sweeping his group in Tecmo XI and Bob Nelson has had the unfortunate pleasure of facing and losing to Chet in round of 64 the last two tourney's. Something I'm sure he will be happy to avoid in Tecmo XII. 
 
Group 27- Tourney co-founder and brother of Chet (sonofpatbeach) will be hoping for the magical bookend trying to win the first and LAST?  Tecmo Madison. He was in the zone last year before losing back to back games on the final plays of the games. Rough. Brian R. (ChaosRison) will be making his third Temco Madison appearance having last played in Tecmo X getting elminated in pool play. However he some some wins over big name players in older tourney's and his perhaps strangly high rating despite not getting out of pool play likely comes from playing Jeff B to a 3 pt game in Tecmo X. John F. (Slaughterhouse) will also be vying for the 2 seed having made it out of pool play as the 2 seed the last two tournaments only to then lose in the round of 64. 
 
Group 28- Yet another fairly tough top heavy group is led by Erik M (ARNCOEM) whose last tourney entry got REGULATED in the round of 16 as he was a blade of grass to Regulators lawnmower. Losing in a 31-0 PIT vs JETS matchup. Tough to move the ball vs Regulater as PIT.  Former online player and recent tourney player  Jeff E (jebigred)
will be making his first Madison appearance but had a very solid showing in the Tomzack Bowl splitting games with Josh and losing by one score to Coco. Solid online player Justin P (justinpeters51) will also be making his first Madison trip and also had a very solid showing in the Tomzack Bowl beating cvogt and losing in OT vs Josh. Sadly someone solid will not be making it out of this group. 
 
Group 29- . This is yet another tough group to call. Tony J (Dotdon) appears to be the king of this mountain. He might be one of only two players to have beaten both Regulator (tecmo 7) and Josh in Tecmo Madison. He last played in Tecmo X where he lost in the round of 32 to daboy in an ATL- DAL matchup. The no nickname Nate C appears to be the slight favorite for the two seed knocking ff gripsmoke and Ryan S on his way to winning his pool last year before losing to Josh in the round of 32. Andrew F(Clown Baby), Dan D(Cod) and James K (player121xk) are all capable of getting hot and winning the 2 seed as well.  player121xk and Andrew F have made it out of pool play as the 2 seed once in the last two tourneys. 
 
Group 30-  Pacific Northwest tourney organizer and the man-YO also known as the Blue Luigi  Joseph M (manyo360) will be making his 3rd  return to Madison. He has swept pool play the last 2 tourney's before making the mistake of giving tony the Rams and losing badly in a WAS/RAMS matchup. He stepped his game up a nothc and made it to the round of 32 before getting knocked off by Matt Diaz.  But just getting out of this group will be no easy task as he faces 3 players who got out of group play last tourney. Eric D (Ding)
nearly knocked me off in my pool play title game in Tecmo X but 2 minute drive by the Rams secured the win. He also knocked Soby out in OT in Tecmo VIII. Online player Nick S (Segathon) will be hoping to repeat his preformance in last year's madison where he swept pool play before putting up the goosegg vs Tecmopsycho. Russell N will be making his second appearance after he made it out of pool play only to lose to ODelle in the round of 64 last year. 
 
Group 31 - Former Champion Kevin M (buzzsaw) will be hoping to turn back the clock after not making out of a couple tough pools in Tecmo IX and Tecmo X. Travis R (Moulds)
also did not make it out of group play his last tourney tecmo X and will have a good chance of making it out here. Online player Eric M (heardyasquash) will be looking to play spoiler and has a chance of getting out of this group as well. 
 
Group 32 -  Rounding out this region is Tom B (8-bit) is the clear #1 seed having made it out of pool play the last 3 tourney's and twice as the 1 seed in his group. Bracket play has proved challenging as his losses have been of the 2 TD variety.  Cory S. (noonan) will be hoping to get out of group play after starting of 2-0 in Tecmo XI only to then lose two in a row to get eliminated. Local player Erik S (dice) once made a final 4 but that was long ago as his last tourney entrance was  Tecmo VII where he lost badly to MV in the first round of bracket paly. He did beat Chet way back in Tecmo III. 
 
 

Here is a mid-week look at (fake/theoretical) bets Vegas is taking for Tecmo XII. As a reminder and boring disclaimer: These are for entertainment purposes only, blah blah blah. If  we didn’t mention someone as part of a category, Vegas apologizes (A lot of names to go through).
 
Tecmo XI Champion’s State:
Indiana/Michigan/Ohio/IL 2:1
Wisconsin 5:1
States that touch an Ocean (for clarity- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coastal_states): 12:1
Field: 15:1
(For the first time since Vegas opened up bets on Tecmo many years ago, Wisconsin is NOT the favorite to hoist the trophy. With defending Champion Psycho and Tecmo X Champ (who technically never "lost" his crown, either) Regulator leading the charge, this group is loaded. Throw in Matt M (Ind), O'Toole/O'Dell (MI), Mort (IL) and whatever Ohio contingency shows up, the depth here is stronger than it ever has been, even without the Vogt clan. Wisconsin's drop is more aligned with the rise of the other group. Wisconsin is still incredibly formidable, with Chet always at the top of the list, followed by Coconuts (Tecmo XI runner up), Josh H, Orenga, Jeff B, Lucas S, Rico R, Kevin M and Troy H all claiming multiple deep runs in past years. There may be some good value in the Coastal States cluster, though. You get Manyo, Gripsmoke and Bruddog, three west coast guys who are due for a string of big TecmoMadison wins. Arncoem, Louis B, DT, Brian R and many more I'm surely forgetting are also included in this group. The Field bet also has some value. Luke C, Matty D, possibly Gats, 8-Bit, Gerald S, Ashman, Seth B and Noonan are all capable of beating any player in tournament. You also get any international entries, so that's fun.)
 
Will the Winner of Tecmo X be a Repeat Champion?
No +600
Yes -400
(Despite last year featuring a first time winner, Regulator was not in the field. He's back this year and joins previous winners Psycho, Chet, Josh H, Mort, and Kevin M as former champions hoping to claim the last title. This is only a list of 6 guys vs 260+, but betting against this list takes some guts.)
 
0.5 Groups with NEITHER the #1 AND #2 Seed advancing:
Over +1000
Under -800
(Interesting value bet here. We've seen as the years have gone on the field has clearly started to level out, with more unknowns able to show up and win immediately, and some top-tier guys capable of early exits. However, many of those results come in bracket play. Dumpster fires in group play are hard to come by. A good number of 2 seeds fall each year, and we've definitely seen some 1's fail to make it out. But would you bet on a group where both the 1 and 2 fail? If you look at Bruddog's metrics, the demarcation between (at least) the #1 and the rest of the groups is noticeable. Based on the metrics, your *best* chance of hitting this bet based on lack of distance between top and the rest of the group would appear to be in Group 23. Behind that group, the numbers suggest you could see chaos in 8, 21, and 29.)
 
1.5 Group Runners-Up in the Elite 8:
Over +400
Under -350
(Prior to last year, Elite 8 members under this tourney format had gone 96-0 prior to the Elite 8. Psycho finally broke through last year and crashed the party as a group runner-up and won the whole damn thing. With this year's number, do you think the field has leveled off enough that we could see TWO runners-up make the Elite 8? History strongly says "no," but all it takes is for a strong 1-seed to drop a game in group play but make it out and all of a sudden you've got an elite player coming from that #2 line, see: Psycho 2015.)
 
Who Goes Further in Tecmo XII?
Mort or Lou
(This bet holds a lot of intrigue. In Tecmo X and XI, Lou out-performed Mort, reaching the 32 and Sweet 16 respectively. Prior to those performances, Mort had been the monster of the two brothers. So for this bet, do you think recent history holds and Lou continues to rise (rumors continue to swirl that Mort rarely touches the game these days) ... Or does Mort find that extra gear he has had in past years in an attempt to go out on the highest possible note in Madison Tecmo play?)
 
In the Championship-Clinching Game, Point Spread:
Winner -7.5
(In clinching games of Tecmo VIII-XI, the winner won by 12, 11, 10, and 14 points. In games that you assume would be tight because it's the best two players in the world on that day, it appeared that fatigue may have come into play. Last year, however, Psycho won a tight game by just 3 pts over Coconuts. So Vegas puts the number right at the sweet spot. Do you think the clinching game is a 2-score deficit, or do we go out with a classic all-time close game to finish out the Madison run?)
 
0.5 Missed/Blocked Extra Points in Tourney Play:
Over +200
Under -175
(Interesting bet. Extra Points are for the most part automatic, but let’s say there are, what, 486ish games in the tournament? No idea on the average # of TDs scored each game, but let’s be conservative and say 4.  That’s 1,944 extra point attempts on the day. Will any be blocked? As guys consume more alcohol and get sloppy….)
 
Largest Beatdown:
+/-59.5 Pts
(With some quick research help from Bruddog, it appears at least on a cursory glance at past results that Coconuts’ 66-0 win to open play last year is one of, if not the, largest margins of victory we’ve seen. This bet asks if anyone will come within a TD of hitting that number this year. Such a huge number to hit vs a human opponent.)
 
Will any of the Tourney Organizers shed a tear at any point from 10am Saturday until the Plaza closes?
Yes +650
No -750
(While our organizers have shown true professionalism through all 12 tournaments, knowing that this is the finale do you think they get a little misty at any point? This might be a fun bet to place on Yes and then spend the day really trying to lay it on thick about this being over when you talk to them throughout the day)
 
What Will be the Ratio of Musky Scents at Wafting in the Badger Bowl at 9pm?
(Beer/Balls/Breath)
A) 40/30/30
30/40/30
C) 30/30/40
D) 100/100/100
E) Incalculable
 
Who Will Be the Most Famous Celebrity to Make an Appearance?
Barry Sanders +10,000
Markie Post +9,000
Chris Jacke +8,000
Jackie Harris +5,000
Jackie Joyner-Kersee +2,500
Some Guy Who Looks Like Mort +300
No Celebrities -6,000
(For the sake of the bet, any person who is not Barry Sanders, Chris Jacke, Jackie Harris, Jackie Joyner-Kersee or Some Guy Who Looks Like Mort will be labeled as “No Celebrity.” So if Aaron Rodgers shows up, too bad, he’s not a celebrity.)
 
Of the 268 Competitors…
Over/Under 250 with facial hair
(Duh)
 

Hey everyone, after talking to a few peeps figuring out logistics, I'm letting y'all know there will be Madison Madness this year, and I have volunteered to run it.
 
The basics
The bracket will consist of the Sweet 16 Entry is free, one entry per person A URL to fill out a bracket will be announced and displayed once the bracket is confirmed and I've updated the settings. You will be required to provide some information, probably your tecmo name / email address to register and fill in Only one bracket per registrant you fucking cheaters Once the Sweet 16 starts, the website will lock new entries and convert into a scoreboard style website. As games are played and winners advance, I will update the website to indicate the advancements, and the scoreboard will also update. After the final game, the scoreboard will show who won the bracket, and that person will win some swag Swag to be provided by nice people donating to the cause. The URL will be mobile-friendly for the most part, as long as you have a non-shitty phone. iPhones, Androids, maybe even Windows phone who knows. Blackberrys and flip phones can GTFO. Find a laptop or borrow someone else's phone. You may not borrow my phone. The URL will not be announced until the Sweet 16 is announced, so don't ask me for it ahead of time.  
Edit 1:  You will probably need to be AT the event when the tournament is over to collect the prize. Shipping the prize probably won't happen.
 
Edit 2:  Due to logistics and my programming laziness, you will not be able to fill out the winner's bracket and loser's bracket simultaneously. You must fill out the winner's bracket, then you can click a button to go to the loser's bracket. You will not be able to go back to the winner's bracket after pushing the button. Ditto with not being able to edit the loser's bracket once you push the button to pick the champion.
 

DISCLAIMER: The numbers next to each player posted below are derived using an SRS iterative method from past tourney results. I used only the last 3 Madison tourney's with the following weightings (10%, 40%, 50%)  There are no subjective adjustments. They are merely ONE TOOL in evaluating a players past madison performances and relative skill. They can be thought of as the average number of points a player would beat an average Madison participant based on past results. 
 
A couple examples of ratings from 3 different players over the last 3 tourneys. 
 
low to high (-3.9, 12.3, 16.0) 
Consistent (14.0,13.8, 12.2) 
high to low ( 17.2, 13.1, 9.5) 
 
But appease the Tecmo Gods and ye may be rewarded with glorious endzone to endzone JJ's.  Anger them and feel their fumble wrath destroy your tecmo hopes!  
 

 
Diaz Region
Group 17- Josh A (Coconuts) has made it to back to back elite 8's and came oh so close to winning it all last year getting elminated  13-10 in a very close championship game vs tecmopsycho. He recently took home the tundra bowl 3 championship and gave regulator all he could handle in the online thunderdome tourney where an unlucky fumble wrecked what would have been a win. Travis R (Pug Life)  looks to be the only threat as he made it out of pool play as the 2 seed last year before losing in the round of 32. 
 
Group 18-  Matt M (Ones11fahzu)  brother of Regulator and tourney veteran made a nice run to the elite 8 after two straight years of failing to reach the round of 16 where he lost 2 games by a total of 4 points to skunker and daboys. His ball control style is always tough to play against. Tim U (The UnKnown)  became "known" after knocking off Mort 24-21 in Tecmo X in the round of 64. He made it out of group play last year as the #2 seed only to get shut out by joeygats. Peter B (Gridiron)  made it out of group play last year as the 2 seed before falling by 14 to Manyo360. He has online experience as well and may have played ones before in league play. His tapping could prove to be a challenge for Matt. 
 
Group 19- Local player Jeff B is hoping to make a deep run like he did in Tecmo IX where he made it to the elite 8 and went 2-2 falling to Chet and Daboy.  There may be some lsight rust as his last game has a loss to O'delle in the round of 64 in Tecmo X. The always entertaining Joey S (Dr.Frolf) did not make it out of pool play last year but made it to the round of 64 in Tecmo X as a 2 seed before getting knocked off by yours truly. 
 
Group 20-  Bad luck to write about your own group so someone else can do it. 
 
Group 21-  This looks like a group that is waiting for a number 1 seed and number of guys who could make a run at the # 2 seed including an experienced online original rom player making his first Madison appearance Eamon B.  Kris S (Sammie Smith) has come oh so close to getting out of group play the last 2 years Losing by 3 pts to Adam G. (Garbage) and Lamefest by 3 pts. Maybe this will be the year he gets to bracket play.  
 
Group 22- This group features two time champion Jim B (Air Bontempo) whose rating gets dragged down by one of the more shocking events of Tecmo XI. After making it to the Elite 8 in Tecmo X, Jimmy went 1-2 in group play and was elminated. No doubt he will be looking to get that bad taste out of his mouth this year. Online player Bo J. (TecmoBo) made his first Madison appearance last year and did wellgoing 3-0 in group play before losing a 3pt gam to player121xk in the round of 64.  
 
Group 23- Nathan M (Retro4ever) owner of retro4ever.com  nad hoster of the Tundra bowl looks to be the cream of this group as he has made it out group play as the #2 seed the last two years only to lose badly to Sconnieale and Luke C. Maybe I'm missing something but I'm not sure who the #2 seed is her as it seems to be up for grabs based on who is left in the group. 
 
Group 24 - This a tough top group at the top. Luke C (Them Crooked Fulchers) has had a strong point differential by dominating  group play the last 3 years but has come up short in getting to the elite 8 losing close games to final 4 player daboys in rd of 32 Tecmo IX,  VikingMoe in the rd of 64 in Tecmo X, and 3pt loss  to elite 8 participant Ones. Final Fntasy speedrunner record holder (at one time) Russel S (Kweh 11) elite tapping plaus skill makes him a tough out as evidenced by his strong performance in Tecmo X where he almost fnished his group as the 1 seed but made it out as the 2 before getting pummeled by skunker.  Rust may be a slight factor be he has been playing recently to work it off. Online player Storksdaman will be making his first Madison appearance and is an X factor and could give the top 2 seeds in this group a scare.   
 

DISCLAIMER: The numbers next to each player posted below are derived using an SRS iterative method from past tourney results. I used only the last 3 Madison tourney's with the following weightings (10%, 40%, 50%)  There are no subjective adjustments. They are merely ONE TOOL in evaluating a players past madison performances and relative skill. They can be thought of as the average number of points a player would beat an average Madison participant based on past results. 
 
A couple examples of ratings from 3 different players over the last 3 tourneys. 
 
low to high (-3.9, 12.3, 16.0) 
Consistent (14.0,13.8, 12.2) 
high to low ( 17.2, 13.1, 9.5) 
 
But appease the Tecmo Gods and ye may be rewarded with glorious endzone to endzone JJ's.  Anger them and feel their fumble wrath destroy your tecmo hopes!  
 

 
Stiller Region
 
 
 
Group 9-  The likely top seed in the tourney Kyle M. (Regulator) currently at 31-4 in Madison play should likely plow through this group. Regulator's elite skill plus his elite tapping
makes him a nightmare. Word on the street is that he has a new Tecmo shirt ready for Tecmo XII. Will this shirt incur the Tecmo Gods wrath? only time will tell. Expect him to get close to the max point differential possible in group play as it features 4 new players and the potential 2 seeds don't look like they can give Kyle much of a scare.  The ratings listed are a little off as it appears Todd D (imimortl) is the stronger player here based on record and the weighting method punished him for last years 1-2 flameout.  Kramer J (mighty bombjack) went 0-2 last year but defeated (imimortl)badly 42-7 in Tomzack Bowl 7. So who knows who really has the upper hand here well other than Regulator looking to prove that last year should be asterisked since he wasn't there. 
 
Group 10- Newly engaged, tecmo madison website admin, and local resident  Tony  "Eat Shit" Orenga. (AverageTSBPlayer) will have the ever loud and decorated Orenga Posse backing him making for the biggest "home field" advantage in Madison . He will be looking to make another deep run after defeating gats in OT before falling to tourney finalists psycho and coconuts in back to back games. Tony should cruise through what now appears to be one of the weakest pools due to some re-shuffling. The # 2 seed appears up for grabs. 
 
Group 11- Continuing with what is likely the most famous region we have the legendary Tecmo VI champion  Francis B. (Mort).  After a deep run to the elite 8 in Tecmo IX mort has had some narrow losses in the round of 64 the last two years after cruising through pool play and definitely would like to reverse that trend this year There are a couple guys who should vie for the 2 seed. Aaron T. (Illini) went 1-2 in his first Tecmo Madison but came ready last year starting off 4-0 before getting pantsed by Chet in a SD Rams matchup 35-0. Michael B from Arizona had a nice showing in Tecmo X earning the #2 seed before falling to powerhouse BigMv in the round of 64.  
 
Group 12- Seth B. (Virtuoso) leads group 12 with a solid tourney record and point differential. He lost to the aforementioned Mort in the round of 16 in Tecmo IX and had a 3 pt loss to Viking Moe who made the elite 8 last year. Local player Jason S. (B.Jack(n u up)son) and Andrew H. (Don) look to be the other main threats however neither made it out of pool play last year so it looks like one of their fortunes will be changing
 
Group 13- . Matt. B heechy looks like the clear favorite here upon closer game by game inspection. Lost to bgboud in the round of 16 in Tecmo IX. He had a narrow  3-0 loss in a PIT/PHX matchup  to Diaz in round of 64 in Tecmo X and lost 31-7 to a hot gripsmoke in the round of 32 last year. Rob. H (PurpleHaze) has been getting some extra practice in online and made it out of group play last year before losing narrowly 14-10 to elite 8 finalist Orenga. Perhaps the posse was too much so he should be a threat as well.  This group is currently a player light. Perhaps the Friday night runner up goes here? 
 
Group 14- Online tecmo veteran haling from the Pacific Northwest  Matt G (gripsmoke) barely got out of pool play needing OT to get past ryan stewart but then knocked off Mc and Heechy in dominant fashion before losing in the round of 16 to tecmo XI finalist Coco. His main threat will be local player Nick G. (Gio) who was in my pool in Tecmo XI and tok a step forward last year making it out of pool play as the #2 seed from his group. He lost in the round of 32 to elite player daboys. 
 
Group 15 - 7 time tourney player Peter K (Moonwalk)  made a return to Madison after a two year layoff last year and appeared to be a little rusty as Tecmo newcomer but also online player Sirted narrowly bested him twice....onece in pool play by 3 points and as it would have it again in bracket play in the round of 64. The battle for the second spot will likely be between Trevor O (Trozier) and Dan S. (Dan) who both made it out of their pool as the 2nd seed last year only to lose by 14+ in the round of 64.  
 
Group 16 - It should be a tough battle at the top players who could make it out of the bracket. David T. (DT) appears to be the favorite given his play at Kumite III with a solid win over C.Vogt and his narrow 3 pt loss to Gio in the round of 64 at Madison last year . Well known online player Gerald S (SuicideKing) should have a good chance of coming out with his online and live tourney experience however this will be his first Madison which ramps up the intensity.  

DISCLAIMER: The numbers next to each player posted below are derived using an SRS iterative method from past tourney results. I used only the last 3 Madison tourney's with the following weightings (10%,30%, 60%)  There are no subjective adjustments. They are merely ONE TOOL in evaluating a players past madison performances and relative skill. They can be thought of as the average number of points a player would beat an average Madison participant based on past results. 
 
A couple examples of ratings from 3 different players over the last 3 tourneys. 
 
low to high (-3.9, 12.3, 16.0) 
Consistent (14.0,13.8, 12.2) 
high to low ( 17.2, 13.1, 9.5) 
 
But appease the Tecmo Gods and ye may be rewarded with glorious endzone to endzone JJ's.  Anger them and feel their fumble wrath destroy your tecmo hopes!  
 

 
Favre Region
 
 
 
Group 1- Two-time champion Chet is the powerhouse here. If you are in this group your chance of a Cinderella 64 appearance goes down considerably. Given tourney history I expect a 3-0 performance from Chet who is looking to get back to the final 8 after losing narrowly to daboys in an epic game last year where daboys pulled off one of the jukes of the tourney. Having played Ryan.S online recently he has definitely improved his game from the last go around and has been training hard  and the rating number highly likely doesn't do him justice and would be my choice  to emerge from the losers bracket as knocking off Chet is a tall task few have been able to do. Ryan is also looking to avenge an epic battle that resulted in a 3pt loss to gripsmoke in OT. Scott S.  has made it out of group play two years in a row and will definitely give this group a run for their money. 
 
Group 2- Should be a battle between Tecmo veteran O'Delle and another tourney vet David T. (Ashman) for the automatic berth. Odelle looking to get back to the elite 8 like he did in Tecmo X. Meanwhile Ashman lost to a hot Lefty in the round of 32 last year. 
 
Group 3- Tourney local Lucas S (Breaker) appears to be the favorite here assuming he's not  super rusty. His last Madison appearance was Tecmo X where he made a run to the Elite 8 before losing to mort and bgboud.   Ryan K (Hoigarrd) looks to reverse a downward trend of wins in Madison  form 3 to 2 to just 1 last year but has mostly been losing close games.   Site founder Matt Knobbe has lost in the round of 64 the last two tourney's and will be hoping to improve on that. 
 
Group 4- Matt DeGeorge is making his first Madison appearance but is no stranger to tournament play or Tecmo having won multiple northeast tourney titles and will be looking to make his mark on Madison and should be he favorite in this group. Two Jay's phillyopish and birdhas uwl will be his primary competitors. birdhas uwl nearly made the Elite 8 in Tecmo after a one pt win vs skunker in the round of 32 but lost to Jeff B in the round of 16. In Tecmo X his last appearance he failed to make it out of pool play as did the other Jay philyophish.
 
Group 5- Tourney vet Rico (ryan33fulcher) looks to be the favorite of this group  that is currently light a player that will assumedly be filled in from the play in tourney on Friday. Whoever earns that spot will definitely have a chance.  Leif Powers (Nameless Loser) the creator of likely the most in-depth Tecmo FAQ to date will make his first Madison appearance. I know little of the current state of his gaming skills but he would be my other choice to escape this group given how little I know of the rest of this group. There are 2 other newcomers I know little about. 
 
Group 6- Louis brother of Mort has to be the favorite of this group light on players with tourney experience and or positive results. He will be hoping to break through to the round of 16 after losing to two quality players in the round of 32 including last years dreaded SEA/NE matchup loss to Gats.  The rest of the group looks like a crapshoot to me but the next best player appears to be Justin L who do not escape group play the last 2 years going 2-2 both years. 
 
Group 7 - This group features two primetimes and a grogan. Advantage Primetime? Local tourney vet Troy H (Primetime) looks to be the cream of this group. He had a rough draw in the round of 64 drawing Vogt brother Jimmy V (Lefty) who narrowly missed the elite 8. He's also been eliminated buy Regulator twice in past tourney's so I'm sure he's hoping for some better matchup fortune. The other Primetime (Paul. G) has been trending up (-5.4 to 5.5). He had a very solid tourney last year knocking off Mort in the round of 64 and then losing it what appears to be an OT game vs Skunker. Brian R (Grogan) has also been trending up with each tourney ( -27, 3.7, 9.1). He nearly won his group last year losing by a mere 3 pts to online powerhouse Gats. He ultimatly lost to Louis in the roundof 64 . He should be dangerous with another year of tournmanet experiance under his belt.  
 
Group 8 - Local player Justin G (Lamefest)  will be making his 5th straight appearance in what looks to be a group with a number of solid if unspectacular players. He will be hoping to turn things around with a number of double digit losses to top players. It should be a close battle for the 2nd spot between two Ben P, Ben B(Rockman) and tourney vet and good guy Kevin C.. I know Rockman has been getting his practice in online so he would could be a darkhorse that wins the whole group. 
 

 
Same as it ever was

 

Just checked the updated Nielsen Ratings on the Madison Tecmo Stream....