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bruddog

Tecmo XII Preview (Dillon Region)

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DISCLAIMER: The numbers next to each player posted below are derived using an SRS iterative method from past tourney results. I used only the last 3 Madison tourney's with the following weightings (10%, 40%, 50%)  There are no subjective adjustments. They are merely ONE TOOL in evaluating a players past madison performances and relative skill. They can be thought of as the average number of points a player would beat an average Madison participant based on past results. 

 

A couple examples of ratings from 3 different players over the last 3 tourneys. 

 

low to high (-3.9, 12.3, 16.0) 

Consistent (14.0,13.8, 12.2) 

high to low ( 17.2, 13.1, 9.5) 

 

But appease the Tecmo Gods and ye may be rewarded with glorious endzone to endzone JJ's.  Anger them and feel their fumble wrath destroy your tecmo hopes!  

 

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Dillon Region

 

 

Group 25-  Group that is home to the defending champ Derek R (tecmopsycho) who struggled out of the gate last year nearly going 0-2 and getting eliminated in group play but he had the will of a champion and found his groove and ran the table thereafter. He is one of the elite tappers and and has tons of live tourney experience so he has a good a shot as any of trying to become the 2nd repeat champion. Jimmy P (jimsocks) would be my favorite for the #2 seed as he made it to the round of 16 in Tecmo X only to go 1-2 in group play the next year.  Nate V( the legend) is looking to live up to his name after nearly escaping group play last year only to lose badly to rico in the losers bracket championship. 

 

Group 26-  Matt .O (LuckyTool) is hoping his luck will change and he make another elite 8 run as he is in the conversation of one of the best to never win it. He knocked me out last year in the round of 32 only to lose in OT to skunker. He a close losses to Jeff B (rd of 32) Tecmo IX and one of his only bad losses a 21-3 loss to Matt V in the round of 16 Tecmo X. However this group will be tough at the top. His competition will be Kyle F (Flo) and Barry A (Bob Nelson) are both experience players who have good winning %'s and have made it out of group play numerous times. Flo was eliminated by Joey V in the round of 64 after sweeping his group in Tecmo XI and Bob Nelson has had the unfortunate pleasure of facing and losing to Chet in round of 64 the last two tourney's. Something I'm sure he will be happy to avoid in Tecmo XII. 

 

Group 27- Tourney co-founder and brother of Chet (sonofpatbeach) will be hoping for the magical bookend trying to win the first and LAST? :sad: Tecmo Madison. He was in the zone last year before losing back to back games on the final plays of the games. Rough. Brian R. (ChaosRison) will be making his third Temco Madison appearance having last played in Tecmo X getting elminated in pool play. However he some some wins over big name players in older tourney's and his perhaps strangly high rating despite not getting out of pool play likely comes from playing Jeff B to a 3 pt game in Tecmo X. John F. (Slaughterhouse) will also be vying for the 2 seed having made it out of pool play as the 2 seed the last two tournaments only to then lose in the round of 64. 

 

Group 28- Yet another fairly tough top heavy group is led by Erik M (ARNCOEM) whose last tourney entry got REGULATED in the round of 16 as he was a blade of grass to Regulators lawnmower. Losing in a 31-0 PIT vs JETS matchup. Tough to move the ball vs Regulater as PIT.  Former online player and recent tourney player  Jeff E (jebigred)

will be making his first Madison appearance but had a very solid showing in the Tomzack Bowl splitting games with Josh and losing by one score to Coco. Solid online player Justin P (justinpeters51) will also be making his first Madison trip and also had a very solid showing in the Tomzack Bowl beating cvogt and losing in OT vs Josh. Sadly someone solid will not be making it out of this group. 

 

Group 29- . This is yet another tough group to call. Tony J (Dotdon) appears to be the king of this mountain. He might be one of only two players to have beaten both Regulator (tecmo 7) and Josh in Tecmo Madison. He last played in Tecmo X where he lost in the round of 32 to daboy in an ATL- DAL matchup. The no nickname Nate C appears to be the slight favorite for the two seed knocking ff gripsmoke and Ryan S on his way to winning his pool last year before losing to Josh in the round of 32. Andrew F(Clown Baby), Dan D(Cod) and James K (player121xk) are all capable of getting hot and winning the 2 seed as well.  player121xk and Andrew F have made it out of pool play as the 2 seed once in the last two tourneys. 

 

Group 30-  Pacific Northwest tourney organizer and the man-YO also known as the Blue Luigi  Joseph M (manyo360) will be making his 3rd  return to Madison. He has swept pool play the last 2 tourney's before making the mistake of giving tony the Rams and losing badly in a WAS/RAMS matchup. He stepped his game up a nothc and made it to the round of 32 before getting knocked off by Matt Diaz.  But just getting out of this group will be no easy task as he faces 3 players who got out of group play last tourney. Eric D (Ding)

nearly knocked me off in my pool play title game in Tecmo X but 2 minute drive by the Rams secured the win. He also knocked Soby out in OT in Tecmo VIII. Online player Nick S (Segathon) will be hoping to repeat his preformance in last year's madison where he swept pool play before putting up the goosegg vs Tecmopsycho. Russell N will be making his second appearance after he made it out of pool play only to lose to ODelle in the round of 64 last year. 

 

Group 31 - Former Champion Kevin M (buzzsaw) will be hoping to turn back the clock after not making out of a couple tough pools in Tecmo IX and Tecmo X. Travis R (Moulds)

also did not make it out of group play his last tourney tecmo X and will have a good chance of making it out here. Online player Eric M (heardyasquash) will be looking to play spoiler and has a chance of getting out of this group as well. 

 

Group 32 -  Rounding out this region is Tom B (8-bit) is the clear #1 seed having made it out of pool play the last 3 tourney's and twice as the 1 seed in his group. Bracket play has proved challenging as his losses have been of the 2 TD variety.  Cory S. (noonan) will be hoping to get out of group play after starting of 2-0 in Tecmo XI only to then lose two in a row to get eliminated. Local player Erik S (dice) once made a final 4 but that was long ago as his last tourney entrance was  Tecmo VII where he lost badly to MV in the first round of bracket paly. He did beat Chet way back in Tecmo III. 

 

 

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It gets harder and harder to get out of group play every year.  I remember the first double elimination (Tecmo IX) you kind of had a feel for which two would advance.  Tecmo X was harder, I'm sure Tecmo XI was even worse (I missed it).  I see groups where 4-5 guys could make the round of 64, which is always my goal and then go from there.

 

Looking forward to it and thanks Bruddog, these are cool writeups.

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9 minutes ago, segathonsov said:

Great write up Bru!

 

Group 30 is stacked and ready to get weird.  Don't sleep on KDog Kris K either.

I like being right next to group 30.  That will be an interesting one to watch.  I also want to see Group 26 and Group 32.  This region may be the toughest from a depth perspective, I think you could point to 25 or more players that have a legit shot to make the 16 for the bracket.  May see the Elite 8 dark horse come from Dillon. 

Edited by Dotdon

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55 minutes ago, Dotdon said:

I like being right next to group 30.  That will be an interesting one to watch.  I also want to see Group 26 and Group 32.  This region may be the toughest from a depth perspective, I think you could point to 25 or more players that have a legit shot to make the 16 for the bracket.  May see the Elite 8 dark horse come from Dillon. 

It parties the hardest anyways.

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34 minutes ago, ImFlo said:
5 hours ago, moulds33 said:

It parties the hardest anyways.

 

You're god damn right.

That's what I like to hear.  I'll be in Group 29, but I'll party like Group 30.

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