bruddog Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 DISCLAIMER: The numbers next to each player posted below are derived using an SRS iterative method from past tourney results. I used only the last 3 Madison tourney's with the following weightings (10%, 40%, 50%) There are no subjective adjustments. They are merely ONE TOOL in evaluating a players past madison performances and relative skill. They can be thought of as the average number of points a player would beat an average Madison participant based on past results. A couple examples of ratings from 3 different players over the last 3 tourneys. low to high (-3.9, 12.3, 16.0) Consistent (14.0,13.8, 12.2) high to low ( 17.2, 13.1, 9.5) But appease the Tecmo Gods and ye may be rewarded with glorious endzone to endzone JJ's. Anger them and feel their fumble wrath destroy your tecmo hopes! Stiller Region Group 9- The likely top seed in the tourney Kyle M. (Regulator) currently at 31-4 in Madison play should likely plow through this group. Regulator's elite skill plus his elite tapping makes him a nightmare. Word on the street is that he has a new Tecmo shirt ready for Tecmo XII. Will this shirt incur the Tecmo Gods wrath? only time will tell. Expect him to get close to the max point differential possible in group play as it features 4 new players and the potential 2 seeds don't look like they can give Kyle much of a scare. The ratings listed are a little off as it appears Todd D (imimortl) is the stronger player here based on record and the weighting method punished him for last years 1-2 flameout. Kramer J (mighty bombjack) went 0-2 last year but defeated (imimortl)badly 42-7 in Tomzack Bowl 7. So who knows who really has the upper hand here well other than Regulator looking to prove that last year should be asterisked since he wasn't there. Group 10- Newly engaged, tecmo madison website admin, and local resident Tony "Eat Shit" Orenga. (AverageTSBPlayer) will have the ever loud and decorated Orenga Posse backing him making for the biggest "home field" advantage in Madison . He will be looking to make another deep run after defeating gats in OT before falling to tourney finalists psycho and coconuts in back to back games. Tony should cruise through what now appears to be one of the weakest pools due to some re-shuffling. The # 2 seed appears up for grabs. Group 11- Continuing with what is likely the most famous region we have the legendary Tecmo VI champion Francis B. (Mort). After a deep run to the elite 8 in Tecmo IX mort has had some narrow losses in the round of 64 the last two years after cruising through pool play and definitely would like to reverse that trend this year There are a couple guys who should vie for the 2 seed. Aaron T. (Illini) went 1-2 in his first Tecmo Madison but came ready last year starting off 4-0 before getting pantsed by Chet in a SD Rams matchup 35-0. Michael B from Arizona had a nice showing in Tecmo X earning the #2 seed before falling to powerhouse BigMv in the round of 64. Group 12- Seth B. (Virtuoso) leads group 12 with a solid tourney record and point differential. He lost to the aforementioned Mort in the round of 16 in Tecmo IX and had a 3 pt loss to Viking Moe who made the elite 8 last year. Local player Jason S. (B.Jack(n u up)son) and Andrew H. (Don) look to be the other main threats however neither made it out of pool play last year so it looks like one of their fortunes will be changing Group 13- . Matt. B heechy looks like the clear favorite here upon closer game by game inspection. Lost to bgboud in the round of 16 in Tecmo IX. He had a narrow 3-0 loss in a PIT/PHX matchup to Diaz in round of 64 in Tecmo X and lost 31-7 to a hot gripsmoke in the round of 32 last year. Rob. H (PurpleHaze) has been getting some extra practice in online and made it out of group play last year before losing narrowly 14-10 to elite 8 finalist Orenga. Perhaps the posse was too much so he should be a threat as well. This group is currently a player light. Perhaps the Friday night runner up goes here? Group 14- Online tecmo veteran haling from the Pacific Northwest Matt G (gripsmoke) barely got out of pool play needing OT to get past ryan stewart but then knocked off Mc and Heechy in dominant fashion before losing in the round of 16 to tecmo XI finalist Coco. His main threat will be local player Nick G. (Gio) who was in my pool in Tecmo XI and tok a step forward last year making it out of pool play as the #2 seed from his group. He lost in the round of 32 to elite player daboys. Group 15 - 7 time tourney player Peter K (Moonwalk) made a return to Madison after a two year layoff last year and appeared to be a little rusty as Tecmo newcomer but also online player Sirted narrowly bested him twice....onece in pool play by 3 points and as it would have it again in bracket play in the round of 64. The battle for the second spot will likely be between Trevor O (Trozier) and Dan S. (Dan) who both made it out of their pool as the 2nd seed last year only to lose by 14+ in the round of 64. Group 16 - It should be a tough battle at the top players who could make it out of the bracket. David T. (DT) appears to be the favorite given his play at Kumite III with a solid win over C.Vogt and his narrow 3 pt loss to Gio in the round of 64 at Madison last year . Well known online player Gerald S (SuicideKing) should have a good chance of coming out with his online and live tourney experience however this will be his first Madison which ramps up the intensity. segathonsov, Gio, player121xk and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gio Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Weird thing....I'm actually driving to the tournament with every single guy in green here so I have to move to an easier group RetroNathan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sonofpatbeach Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Updates to this group: Hoiggard has been moved to another region (and replaced by a noob) Joe M. has been moved to another region (and replaced by a noob) The top dog in Group 15 is now Luke C rather than Peter K bob sacamano 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtVandelay Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 (edited) I'm in Orenga's region now!!!! Edited February 16, 2016 by ArtVandelay qb_browns, red98sethuthut and Knobbe 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qb_browns Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 1 hour ago, ArtVandelay said: I'm in Orenga's region now!!!! Art's ultimate form.... ShinVandelay bruddog 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beef Juice Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I'm gonna shock the world! (goes 0-2, drinks heavily rest of the day) RetroNathan, red98sethuthut, Super Duper and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bruddog Posted February 18, 2016 Author Share Posted February 18, 2016 Edited as Orenga's group now has 4 noobs and a 3 negative players. DFM and hoigaard 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beef Juice Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 18 hours ago, bruddog said: Edited as Orenga's group now has 4 noobs and a 3 negative players. NEGATIVE THIS GOD DAMMIT! Knobbe and moulds33 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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